Assam Election Exit Polls 2026 LIVE Updates: Surveys predict clean sweep for BJP in Assam

Assam Election Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Axis My India, Matrize and other surveys predict a clean sweep for BJP in Assam, with exit poll numbers showing over over 80 seats for the party and around 30 seats for Congress

Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: Surveys predicted a clean sweep for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in Assam, with incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma likely to continue in the post for his second consecutive term. Multiple exit poll predictions gave the BJP an easy majority in Assam, projecting over 80 seats for the party in the 126-seat state assembly. Meanwhile, the Congress party is likely to get around 25 to 35 seats in the state.

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Assam Exit Poll breakdown: Axis My India have an easy edge to the BJP in its exit poll predictions. The survey predicted 88-100 seats for the ruling BJP in the state, and 24-36 seats for Congress. Meanwhile, Matrize predicted 85 to 95 seats for the BJP, securing an easy majority, and 25 to 32 seats for the Congress party.

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Assam Assembly Election 2026
Exit Polls Out

Assam election exit poll 2026 NDA sweep predicted 126 seats  ·  64 for majority  ·  Turnout: 85.38%

VotingApr 9Single phase
Exit PollsApr 29Released Wednesday
CountingMay 4Results declared
NDABJP-led alliance
Congress+Six-party alliance
AIUDF0-2 in JVC
Others3 in JVC
012026 Exit Polls 02Scenarios 032021 Results 04Key Issues
2026 Exit Polls — Assam Seat Projections
88-101NDA high rangeAxis / JVC
22-36Congress+Across polls
0-2AIUDFJVC only
85.38%TurnoutHigh participation
Magic mark: 64. The exit polls cited in the ANI/PTI inputs broadly predict the BJP-led NDA retaining Assam. Axis My India, JVC and Matrize place the NDA well above majority; People's Pulse is lower but still gives NDA 68-72.
Axis My India NDA Sweep
BJP-led NDA
88-100
Congress+
24-36
64 — MAJORITY MARKNDA far above majority
JVC Exit Poll NDA Sweep
BJP-led NDA
88-101
Congress
23-33
AIUDF
0-2
Others
3
64 — MAJORITY MARKNDA may approach triple digits
Matrize NDA Lead
NDA
85-95
Congress+
25-32
People's Pulse NDA Lead
NDA
68-72
Congress+
22-26
64 — MAJORITY MARKNDA still above majority
What the Exit Polls Suggest
NDA EdgeBJP-led alliance set to retain Assam
All four cited projections put the NDA above the 64-seat majority mark, with Axis, JVC and Matrize showing a large cushion.
OppositionCongress+ trails across surveys
Congress and its partners are projected between 22 and 36 seats, despite a six-party alliance against the ruling NDA.
TurnoutHigh voter participation
Assam recorded 85.38% turnout. Himanta Biswa Sarma said communities that traditionally voted less also participated enthusiastically this time.
Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma said on April 9 that it would not be surprising if the BJP-led NDA reached triple digits.
2021 Assembly Election — Final Results
NDABJP-led alliance
Seats
75
BJP
60
CongressOpposition
Seats
29
AIUDF2021 result
Seats
16
Campaign Battlegrounds
IncumbencyNDA seeks third term
The BJP-led NDA is looking for a third successive term in office after winning 75 of 126 seats in 2021.
Congress+Six-party alliance test
Congress stitched a six-party alliance to take on the ruling BJP-led NDA, but the exit polls show it trailing.
ParticipationTurnout shapes reading
Sarma said turnout rose across communities, with Assam's final polling figure placed at 85.38%.
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Source: ANI/PTI exit poll inputs  |  Updated: 29 Apr 2026

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The tenure of the current Assam legislative assembly is set to be over on May 20, 2026, which means that a new government will be formed before that. In the previous election, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance won 75 out of the total 126 seats.

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2021 exit polls for Assam: Exit polls were most accurate for Assam out of all other polling states in 2021, predicting the BJP’s return to power within a margin of a handful of seats. In 2021, the BJP and its allies had won 75 seats, with the Congress and its allies at 50 seats, and 1 seat going to an Independent. The majority mark in the 126-member Assam Assembly is 64 seats.

Live Updates
Apr 29, 2026 07:32 PM IST
Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: 2021 polls in Assam

In 2021, the BJP and its allies had won 75 seats, with the Congress and its allies at 50 seats, and 1 seat going to an Independent. The majority mark in the 126-member Assam Assembly is 64 seats.

Apr 29, 2026 06:58 PM IST
Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: P-MARQ predicts easy win for BJP

P-MARQ exit poll predictions

BJP - 82 to 94 seats

Congress - 30 to 40 seats

Others - 1 to 5 seats

Apr 29, 2026 06:56 PM IST
Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: Matrize gives edge to BJP in Assam

The exit poll results released by Matrize predicted that BJP will win 85-95 seats in Assam, while Congress is likely to win 25-32 seats in the state.

Exit Poll Predictions

BJP- 85 to 95 seats

Congress - 25 to 32 seats

Others - 6 to 12 seats

Apr 29, 2026 06:36 PM IST
Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: Axis My India predicts BJP clean sweep

The exit poll results by Axis My India are out, predicting a clean sweep for BJP in the state. The survey has projected over 88 seats for BJP in the polls, with 24-36 seats for Congress.

Apr 29, 2026 06:08 PM IST
Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: Assam exit polls to be out shortly

The exit poll predictions for Assam, as well as other four polling states, are set to be out shortly, after 6.30 pm.

Apr 29, 2026 04:50 PM IST
Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: How accurate were 2021 exit polls in Assam?

In 2021, the BJP and its allies had won 75 seats, with the Congress and its allies at 50 seats, and 1 seat going to an Independent. The majority mark in the 126-member Assam Assembly is 64 seats. Read more.

Apr 29, 2026 04:26 PM IST
Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: Himanta Biswa Sarma eyes 2nd term as CM

Benevolent ‘mama’ to some, ruthless politician to others, Himanta Biswa Sarma is one of the most polarising figures in Assam. As the state votes on April 9, Sukrita Baruah traces his journey – his steady climb up the political ladder, from student leader to Chief Minister, his sight always set on the big game. Read more.

Apr 29, 2026 03:59 PM IST
Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: Exit poll results to be out after 6.30 pm

According to the notification issued by the Election Commission of India, the exit poll results will only be aired after 6.30 pm.

The ECI notice says, "The Election Commission under Section 126A of the RP Act 1951, has notified that the conduct of exit poll and dissemination of their results by means of print or electronic media is prohibited between 7:00 AM on 9 April 2026 (Thursday) and 6.30 PM on 29 April 2026 (Wednesday).”

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