Pollsters Put Abdul El-Sayed Up by as Much as 19 Points in Michigan. The Race Came Down to a Fraction of a Percent
by Jerome London · Thought CatalogUpdated 3 hours ago, August 6, 2026
The gap between what the polls promised and what the ballots delivered in Michigan has left election forecasters scrambling for an explanation.
Seven different pollsters showed Abdul El-Sayed with a double-digit lead. He won by less than a single point.
The people whose job is reading elections are still trying to explain how they got this one so wrong.
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