Alabama vs. Georgia odds, spread, line: 2024 college football picks, Week 5 predictions from proven computer

SportsLine's model just revealed its college football picks for Georgia Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday

The biggest game thus far of the 2024 college football season will take place on Saturday as the No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs will visit the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide. Both teams are 3-0 and coming off a bye last week. Georgia won its SEC opener in its last game, 13-12, at Kentucky, while Alabama will be contesting its first conference game of the year and won at Wisconsin, 42-10, in its last contest. Alabama is 8-1 over the last nine meetings with Georgia, while the Bulldogs have won 42 straight regular-season games, the longest streak since Oklahoma's 45 in a row in the 1950s.

Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Ala., will host this 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff. According to the latest Georgia vs. Alabama odds, per SportsLine consensus, the Bulldogs are 1-point road favorites. That snaps a streak of 113 straight home games with the Tide being favorites if the line hold until kickoff. The over/under for total points is 49.5. Before making any Alabama vs. Georgia picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Georgia. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines on the spread, money line and over/under for Georgia vs. Alabama:

• Alabama vs. Georgia spread: Georgia -1
• Alabama vs. Georgia over/under: 49.5 points
• Alabama vs. Georgia money line: Georgia -118, Alabama -103
• Alabama vs. Georgia picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Alabama can cover

Kalen DeBoer is in his first year at the helm in Tuscaloosa, but he's proven his mettle versus top-ranked teams in previous locales. He went 3-0 ATS versus AP-ranked opponents while at Fresno State and then went 7-3-1 ATS in those games while at Washington. Overall, he is 12-2 straight-up and 10-3-1 ATS against ranked foes. Additionally, the Tide are 11-6 against the spread since the start of last season, while Georgia is just 6-10-1 ATS over that same span.

A carryover from Nick Saban's tenure to DeBoer's is an elite defense, as Alabama is holding opponents to just a 16.3% conversion rate on third downs, the best mark in FBS. On offense, QB Jalen Milroe has accounted for 14 total TDs through three games, making him just the third SEC player since 2000 to achieve that feat. The Bama offense as a whole has the explosiveness that other teams envy as the Tide have 13 touchdowns of 20-plus yards this season. That is the second-most in FBS despite playing one fewer game than the leader in Ole Miss (14). See which team to pick here. 

Why Georgia can cover

While Bama has gotten the better of Alabama in a pair of recent SEC Championship Games, the Dawgs are on a couple of historic runs in the regular season. They've won 42 straight regular-season games, which is the longest streak since 1953-57 Oklahoma. Also, UGA's 16-game win streak on the road is the longest by any SEC team over the last 30 years. Plus, dating back to last season's Orange Bowl, Georgia hasn't allowed a touchdown in four straight games, giving up an average of just 5.3 PPG, despite facing two top-15 ranked teams over this stretch in Florida State and Clemson.

Meanwhile, Alabama has flaws on both sides of the ball, starting with the team already losing four fumbles this season. Just nine teams in all of college football have lost more fumbles, despite Bama playing one fewer game than most other teams as it already had a bye. On defense, the Tide are susceptible on the ground as South Florida ran for over 200 yards against them three weeks ago. Georgia can exploit Bama through the ground game as RBs Trevor Etienne and Nate Frazier are both averaging at least 5.7 ypc. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Georgia vs. Alabama picks

The model has simulated Alabama vs. Georgia 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Alabama vs. Georgia, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.