TL;DR The CFTC's Division of Market Oversight has issued guidance on prediction contracts that settle based on whether a person says, mentions or does

Three weeks after fining a teleprompter operator who traded on speeches he had already read, regulators set out what exchanges must show.

Bernstein now projects prediction markets will handle $10 trillion a year by 2035, up from its own $1 trillion by 2030 forecast.