Supercomputer Predicts Winners of 2024/25 Champions League After Liverpool, Atletico Exit

• A supercomputer has simulated the remainder of the 2024-25 Champions League season to determine the most likely winner
• While traditional powerhouses like Real Madrid and Bayern Munich remain in contention, the predictions have thrown up a surprising favourite
• With unexpected contenders emerging, fans are in for an exciting race to the Allianz Arena final

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The 2024-25 Champions League quarter final is set, and fans worldwide are making their predictions for Europe's biggest club competition.

The Champions League quarter-final first legs are set for April 8 and 9, with the second legs a week later. The semi-finals follow on April 29 and 30, with the return fixtures on May 6 and 7.

The final will be held on May 31 at Munich’s Allianz Arena.

A supercomputer, via Givemesport, has now simulated the remainder of the tournament, offering a data-driven forecast of the likely winners—one that spells bad news for the remaining English clubs.

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Where things stand

The league stage concluded in February, determining which teams advanced directly to the Round of 16 and which had to fight through a playoff.

While league-phase leaders Liverpool and Barcelona seemed primed for deep runs, Liverpool suffered a penalty shootout defeat to PSG, while Barcelona comfortably dispatched Benfica 4-1.

The Round of 16 also saw high-profile exits, with Atletico Madrid controversially losing to Real Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen bowing out against Bayern Munich.

Arsenal and Aston Villa, the only remaining English clubs, advanced in style, crushing PSV (9-3 on aggregate) and Club Brugge (6-1), respectively.

However, the supercomputer suggests their journeys may soon end.

Quarter-final predictions

Arsenal and Villa face daunting tasks against European powerhouses Real Madrid and PSG.

The supercomputer predicts that Arsenal’s dream of a first major European trophy will be shattered by a narrow 5-4 aggregate defeat to Madrid, while Villa will be eliminated after a 4-0 home loss following a goalless first leg in Paris.

Meanwhile, Bayern Munich are expected to overturn a 1-0 first-leg loss to Inter Milan, progressing on penalties after a 2-1 win in Italy.

Barcelona, led by Lamine Yamal and Raphinha, are forecasted to thrash Borussia Dortmund 5-0.

Semi-final & final forecasts

A thrilling clash between Bayern Munich and Barcelona is predicted to result in a 9-7 aggregate victory for the Bundesliga side, securing their first final since 2020.

On the other side, Real Madrid are tipped to edge PSG 4-3, despite a second-leg scare in Paris.

According to the supercomputer, Bayern will emerge victorious on May 31, defeating Real Madrid 3-1 to claim their seventh Champions League crown—finally delivering a major trophy to Harry Kane.

How the Supercomputer works

It is believed that the supercomputer uses an advanced algorithm that factors in team form, head-to-head records, player statistics, and tactical trends.

By simulating each match thousands of times, it generates the most probable outcomes.

Some factors considered during simulation includes teams' injuries, historical performance in similar stages, and home and away advantages.

While predictions are never absolute, the model has previously been successful in forecasting major tournament winners.

What this means for European football

The predicted outcome could mark a significant shift in European football dominance. English clubs continue to struggle to assert themselves in the latter stages and this raises questions about the competitiveness of the Premier League in European tournaments.

Past Champions League Titles Won by Quarter-Finalists

The eight teams that have reached the quarter-finals this season have varying histories in the Champions League:

Real Madrid – 15 titles (most recent: 2024)

Bayern Munich – 6 titles (most recent: 2020)

Barcelona – 5 titles (most recent: 2015)

Inter Milan – 3 titles (most recent: 2010)

Borussia Dortmund – 1 title (most recent: 1997)

Arsenal – 0 titles (best finish: runner-up in 2006)

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) – 0 titles (best finish: runner-up in 2020)

Aston Villa – 1 title (most recent: 1982)

Courtois responds to critics over Alvarez's penalty

In an earlier report, YEN.com.gh highlighted Thibaut Courtois' response to critics after Real Madrid’s controversial qualification to the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals.

The Belgian goalkeeper, who played a key role in their progression, addressed the intense debate surrounding their victory

Nomso Obiajuru was a contributing writer in this article

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Source: YEN.com.gh